Rio 2016

Comparing D-Scores Between US & China

Reading online, I feel like there are a lot of people that don’t understand how close China could be to the US.  Now I don’t think that China will be beating the US in Rio, but I do think that they are fully a lock for the silver medal, barring several gymnasts having a meltdown.  Though knowing China, that could easily happen as well.  But here is a comparison on the difficulty scores from the named Chinese team to the presumptive US team.  I took these from each countries respective national championships.

Name VT UB BB FX AA
Shang Chunsong 5.0 6.7 6.7 6.7  25.1
Liu Tingting 5.8 6.3 6.3 5.5  23.9
Fan Yilin 7.1 6.7 5.4  19.2
Mao Yi 5.8 5.9 5.8 6.4  23.9
Wang Yan 6.2 5.5 6.5 6.3  24.5
Name VT UB BB FX AA
Simone Biles 6.3 6.1 6.8 6.9 26.1
Aly Raisman 6.3 5.9 6.5 6.6 25.3
Gabby Douglas 5.8 6.5 6.3 6.0 24.5
Laurie Hernandez 5.8 6.4 6.4 6.1 24.7
Madison Kocian 5.0 6.7 5.9 5.8 23.4

Taking the top three most difficult routines from each countries, this is what we get.  One exclusion to this rule, I can almost guarantee that China will not be putting Wang Yan up on beam at all in the Olympics, much less in team finals so I’m using Liu Tingting’s score instead.

Country VT UB BB FX Total
China 17.8 20.1 19.7 19.4 77.0
USA 18.4 19.6 19.7 19.6 77.3

So there is a total of 0.2 between the two countries.  Now typically, the US has better execution and are less likely to meltdown so that’s why I don’t think China will be in a position to beat them, but it’s really outstanding how close China is able to get especially considering how dominate the US has been all quad.

I’ll be trying to add more analysis between the front runners for bronze; Great Britain, Russia, Japan, and Brazil.

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3 thoughts on “Comparing D-Scores Between US & China

  1. Pingback: Russian Team Analysis | GymPOW

  2. Pingback: Dutch Team Review | GymPOW

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